What the stats, numbers tell us about the fight

Undisputed ace middleweight champion Canelo Alvarez takes connected Terence Crawford successful 1 of the astir highly anticipated fights successful caller representation connected Saturday, arsenic some fighters look to marque a bequest connection astatine Allegiant Stadium successful Las Vegas (Netflix, 9 p.m. ET).

Canelo (63-2-2, 39 KOs), who already has won 11 satellite titles crossed 4 value classes, volition purpose to unafraid his spot arsenic 1 of the top boxers of this procreation by retaining his undisputed presumption and putting the archetypal blemish connected two-division undisputed champion Crawford's record.

Crawford (41-0, 31 KOs) is moving up 2 value classes successful an effort to go the archetypal men's boxer to execute undisputed presumption successful 3 value classes.

Canelo, ESPN's No. 8 pound-for-pound fighter, is acquainted with Crawford's position. Canelo moved up a part successful 2022 successful his effort to triumph a satellite rubric astatine airy heavyweight but was beaten by Dmitry Bivol.

Crawford, ESPN's No. 3 lb for lb fighter, wants to beryllium that he's the champion successful the satellite by pulling disconnected the upset against boxing's biggest star.

"I person much to suffer than him," Crawford told ESPN. "There are truthful galore radical who can't hold to accidental that I'm not arsenic bully arsenic radical thought I was. But Canelo has thing to lose, too, due to the fact that it would tarnish his vocation if a combatant came up 2 value classes and bushed him."

The size differential and the information that Canelo has been warring astatine this part oregon higher for that past 12 fights, is 1 of the reasons wherefore Canelo is the betting favourite to triumph (-175 per ESPN BET), but Crawford (5-foot-8, 74-inch reach) really has tallness and scope advantages implicit Canelo (5-foot-7½, 70½)-inch reach.

Let's excavation deeper into what immoderate of the numbers associated with this matchup tin archer us.

11: Crawford's KOs successful his past 12 fights. Crawford has proven to beryllium the acold much prolific finisher successful caller years, with a stellar streak of 11 consecutive knockouts from December 2016 to July 2023. That streak was breached erstwhile Crawford moved up to 154 pounds to look Israil Madrimov. He'll look Canelo astatine 168 pounds, wherever the ace middleweight champion has beaten immoderate of the heaviest hitters of this epoch (Gennadiy Golovkin, Edgar Berlanga, Callum Smith) and hasn't travel adjacent to touching the canvas. While Canelo is the bigger fighter, helium hasn't been overmuch of a finisher implicit the past fewer years, with his past knockout coming against Caleb Plant successful 2021. All signs constituent toward the combat with Crawford going the distance.

75.6%: Crawford's knockout rate.

61.9%: Canelo's knockout rate.

9: Fighters knocked retired for the archetypal clip successful their careers by Crawford since 2014.

3: Fighters knocked retired for the archetypal clip successful their careers by Canelo since 2014.

3: Fighters who person gone the region with Crawford since 2014.

7: Fighters who person gone the region with Canelo implicit the past 3 years.

0: Times Canelo and Crawford person been knocked down successful their careers.

288-9-2: The combined grounds of Canelo's past 10 opponents earlier they fought Canelo.

258-12-5: The combined grounds of Crawford's past 10 opponents earlier they fought Crawford.

By record, Canelo seems to person faced amended absorption successful his past 10 fights than Crawford. However, upon person inspection, the prime of contention is person to even.

Canelo was the archetypal to enactment blemishes connected the records of erstwhile champio...