Survivor pool strategy: Chiefs, Broncos among top options in Week 7

2 weeks ago 7

Mackenzie Kraemer
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Oct 15, 2025, 04:43 PM ET

ESPN Eliminator Challenge is 1 of the astir amusive games to play this NFL season. The rules are simple: prime 1 team, and arsenic agelong arsenic they triumph (or tie), you beforehand to the adjacent round. If they lose, you are out. The caveat is you cannot prime the aforesaid squad twice. If you've made it this far, springiness yourself a pat connected the back.

For the 5th clip successful the archetypal six weeks, astatine slightest 70% of remaining Eliminator Challenge entries survived successful Week 6. After underdogs went 9-5 successful Week 5, favorites bounced backmost to spell 11-4 successful Week 6, though 1 of those losses came erstwhile the Philadelphia Eagles fell to the New York Giants connected Thursday.

Overall, 13% of each entries stay this week, including radical who tailed this file aft the Green Bay Packers won arsenic the biggest favorites past weekend.

The Kansas City Chiefs are the biggest favorites according to the betting marketplace and predictive models from some ESPN Analytics and Mike Clay, making them the wide prime successful Week 7. The Chiefs volition beryllium the astir fashionable choice, but fixed a tricky remaining docket and a deficiency of different appealing options, it's hard not to devour the chalk.

Mike Clay's Eliminator Challenge cheat sheet

1. Kansas City Chiefs (vs. Las Vegas Raiders)

The Chiefs are present ranked arsenic the No. 1 squad by ESPN Analytics, however, they person lone 2 games near against teams ranked successful the bottommost fractional of the NFL aft this week -- Week 18 against the Raiders and Week 16 against the Tennessee Titans -- meaning determination is little worth successful redeeming them for later. With their adjacent casual crippled not coming until adjacent to Christmas, it's good to devour the chalk and instrumentality the biggest favorites connected the board.

Mike Clay accidental to win: 89%
ESPN Analytics accidental to win: 79%
ESPN BET line: Chiefs -12.5 (-1000 moneyline)
Eliminator Challenge: 29% selected

2. Denver Broncos (vs. New York Giants)

The Broncos are the second-biggest favorites this week according to some ESPN BET Sportsbook and ESPN Analytics. While the Giants are 2-1 since switching to backmost Jaxson Dart, some wins came astatine home, with the lone nonaccomplishment connected the roadworthy against the struggling New Orleans Saints. The caveat with Denver is that they are besides the biggest favorites successful Week 10 (vs. Raiders), truthful burning the Broncos present could permission you exposed then.