Regrading eight NFL trades from last year's deadline: Hindsight on Adams to the Jets, Cooper to the Bills

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  • Seth WalderOct 21, 2025, 06:25 AM ET

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      Seth Walder is an analytics writer astatine ESPN, specializing successful quantitative analysis. He is besides a regular connected "ESPN Bet Live" and helps screen sports betting. Seth has been astatine ESPN since 2017. He antecedently worked astatine the New York Daily News covering the Jets and Giants. You tin travel Seth connected X via @SethWalder.

I'm a large believer successful evaluating decision-making instantaneously -- but looking backmost astatine past choices tin besides beryllium a invaluable exercise.

At the 2024 NFL commercialized deadline, I graded the deals that were made based connected expectations for the players involved, headdress implications and however the moves affected the outlooks of the trading teams. A twelvemonth later, we person a batch much information. So let's update our grades based connected each we've learned. It's a utile calibration workout for aboriginal grades, too.

When I'm doing grades astatine the clip of a deal, I absorption connected process and the scope of outcomes for each team. These grades volition beryllium focused connected results and see however players person performed since the commercialized (and expectations for them going guardant if they're inactive with the squad that traded for them).

So earlier the 2025 commercialized deadline hits connected Nov. 4, let's instrumentality 1 much look astatine 8 of the biggest 2024 trades -- what we thought past and what we cognize now.

Read much connected 2025 trades:
Trade tracker | Trade grades

Jump to a 2024 regrade:
Adams | Baker/Jones
Browning | Cooper | Johnson
Lattimore | Mingo | Smith

WR Davante Adams to the Jets

New York Jets got: WR Davante Adams
Las Vegas Raiders got: 2025 conditional third-round pick
Trade date: Oct. 15

Original people for the Jets: A-
New people for the Jets: B+

Original people for the Raiders: B-
New people for the Raiders: B

At the clip of the trade, the Jets were 2-4 and had fired caput manager Robert Saleh. The anticipation was that a coachi...

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