NFL Week 2 best bets: What will Josh Allen do for an Encore?

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  • Ben Solak

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    Ben Solak

    ESPN

      Ben Solak joined ESPN successful 2024 arsenic a nationalist NFL analyst. He antecedently covered the NFL astatine The Ringer, Bleeding Green Nation and The Draft Network.
  • Seth Walder

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    Seth Walder

    ESPN Analytics

      Seth Walder is an analytics writer astatine ESPN, specializing successful quantitative analysis. He is besides a regular connected "ESPN Bet Live" and helps screen sports betting. Seth has been astatine ESPN since 2017. He antecedently worked astatine the New York Daily News covering the Jets and Giants. You tin travel Seth connected X via @SethWalder.

Sep 12, 2025, 10:00 AM ET

Value is value, nary substance wherever -- oregon however -- you find it. And that's what we'll purpose to bash each week successful this abstraction -- find value.

Ben Solak and Seth Walder bring antithetic perspectives into however they attack sports betting. Solak leans connected his expertise successful subordinate valuation and the X's and O's to find edges. Walder relies connected statistical models to prime retired plus-expected worth bets.

These play picks volition not beryllium constricted to a definite stake type. From spreads and moneylines to totals oregon adjacent antiaircraft subordinate props, a bully terms mightiness beryllium recovered anywhere.

Results volition beryllium tracked passim the season, with level one-unit wagers for each listed bet. As always, likelihood are from ESPN BET.

With that, let's dive into Week 2.

Note: This record volition beryllium updated done Saturday with caller bets -- including Seth Walder's antiaircraft props -- arsenic the likelihood go available.

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Game bets | Offensive props

Game bets

Buffalo Bills astatine New York Jets full points OVER 46.5 (-110)

Solak: Two of Week 1's highest-scoring teams conscionable successful Week 2, and I similar the mode some offenses lucifer into the opposing defenses.

Josh Allen, Joe Brady and the Bills fried Aaron Glenn's defence past play with 48 points, with Allen averaging an absurd .46 EPA per dropback. In Week 1, the Jets defence nether Glenn looked overmuch the aforesaid arsenic his Detroit Lions defence did -- they played antheral astatine the third-highest complaint of Week 1 and blitzed astatine the seventh-highest rate. Expect Allen to scramble a lot, which we'll get to successful different stake aboriginal on.

Can the Jets propulsion their mode into the crippled if they're trailing against the Bills? That's the large question here. Last week the Jets had a tally complaint implicit expectation, arsenic measured by Next Gen Stats of 21.4% -- that would person been the seventh-highest fig successful a azygous crippled past season. They didn't privation to propulsion the shot overmuch with Justin Fields backmost there, and that's a tenable program -- but if they're successful an aboriginal hole, they mightiness person to.

The bully quality is that I deliberation they tin tally it good against Buffalo's airy boxes and nickel perso...

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