Last-minute prep for NFL Week 3: Stat trends, fantasy sleepers, upsets picks and more

Week 3 of the 2025 NFL season is here, and our NFL analysts person you covered successful the eleventh hour. Don't miss our last-minute prep for a loaded slate.

First, analytics writer Seth Walder breaks down 3 stat trends that could beryllium pivotal this weekend. Then phantasy shot writer Eric Moody runs done 5 players who are rostered successful nether 50% of ESPN phantasy shot leagues arsenic of Saturday and could beryllium started successful a jam. That's followed by NFL expert Matt Bowen predicting 3 perchance large surprises and sports betting expert Pamela Maldonado giving her favourite stake for Week 3.

Could Packers receiver Romeo Doubs person a large week against the Browns? Could Chiefs wideout Hollywood Brown spell disconnected against the Giants? What should we expect from the Bengals' walk extortion successful beforehand of Jake Browning? And volition the Rams avenge their divisional-round loss to the Eagles with an upset? Let's dive in.

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Stat trends | Fantasy sleepers
Potential surprises | Best bet

Walder: Three cardinal stat trends that could find Week 3 winners

How volition the Steelers borderline rushers T.J. Watt and Nick Herbig fare against the Patriots?

Here's a shocking fig done 2 weeks: Watt has a 7% walk unreserved triumph complaint astatine edge. That's little than fractional the mean for a starting borderline rusher (roughly 16%) and mode beneath his vocation mean of 24%. Watt has been chipped by choky ends an atrocious lot, but 7% is inactive shocking present substance however overmuch attraction helium draws.

If determination is simply a get-right crippled for Watt, it's this one. He volition apt look Patriots close tackle Morgan Moses, who has the lowest walk artifact triumph complaint astatine tackle successful the NFL (75%).

But the different broadside of the enactment is conscionable arsenic absorbing to me: Herbig could person a large relation since Alex Highsmith is retired with an ankle sprain. The third-year walk rusher has had superb numbers successful the past, with a 24% vocation walk unreserved triumph complaint (you'll note, the aforesaid arsenic Watt!) contempt being a backup. He should spot rookie near tackle Will Campbell, whose 84% walk artifact triumph complaint is amended than Moses' but inactive solidly beneath average.

How those 2 borderline rushers execute could mean the quality betwixt a bully oregon atrocious time for Patriots QB Drake Maye.

Will the Bengals walk support amended for Read Entire Article