How much will Kyle Tucker and Kyle Schwarber get paid this winter? MLB insiders predict their free agency

We've collected projections for the astir anticipated escaped agents of the past 3 offseasons: first it was Aaron Judge, then Shohei Ohtani, then Juan Soto (with an update successful October).

While determination isn't a monolithic escaped cause expected to smash records this wintertime similar Ohtani and Soto did, determination are 2 players who are intriguing for antithetic reasons and besides hap to person the aforesaid archetypal name: Kyle Schwarber and Kyle Tucker.

From 1 constituent of view, Tucker has had a coagulated locomotion year, posting 4.7 WAR with his violative numbers down conscionable a tick from past year's vocation twelvemonth but underlying metrics adjacent to his champion seasons. On the different hand, Tucker had a truly unsmooth tally successful August, hitting .148/.233/.148 (16 wRC+) implicit 15 games (61 sheet appearances) from Aug. 1 to Aug. 18. This led to him sitting retired games Aug. 19 and 20. The Chicago Cubs close fielder has deed good since returning, but present he's connected the injured database with a calf strain. That said, helium was tied for 5th successful shot successful WAR astatine the extremity of June, and helium remains successful the apical 20.

Schwarber's play is little complicated. The Philadelphia Phillies slugger has posted vocation bests successful astir violative categories, including his 50 homers, 123 RBIs and 4.5 WAR. The lone negatives for his outlook connected escaped bureau are that Schwarber volition beryllium 33 years aged successful March and has played lone 13 games successful the tract implicit the past 2 seasons. Designated hitters good into their 30s haven't fared good successful escaped agency, but nary of those had deed 50 homers successful their locomotion year, truthful Schwarber is successful uncharted territory.

How overmuch mightiness each of the Kyles get this winter? We polled 20 scouts, executives and agents to find out.

Kyle Tucker

How overmuch could Tucker get?

Here are the 20 responses from our panel, grouped successful tiers by full dollars.

Under $350 cardinal (6): 11 years/$308 million, 9 years/$315 cardinal (2x), 8 years/$320 million, 9 years/$340 million, 9 years/$342 million

$350-$399 cardinal (4): 8 years/$352 million, 10 years/$375 million, 12 years/$375 million, 11 years/$380 million

$400-499 cardinal (8): 10 years/$400 million, 11 years/$400 million, 11 years/$418 million, 10 years/$420 cardinal (2x), 10 years/$425 million, 12 years/$425 million, 10 years/$450 million

At slightest $500 cardinal (2): 10 years/$500 million, 12 years/$550 million

The mean of each 20 projections is 10.1 years, $391.5 million, for a $38.8 cardinal mean yearly worth (AAV).

The median projection of those deals is $390 million.

Who are the closest comps?

Tucker's accordant standout show (five consecutive 4-5 fWAR seasons and 5 consecutive hitting performances 30% amended than league average) makes it hard to find a caller escaped cause comparison. He's Read Entire Article