College football: Why Texas Tech-ASU is worth two bets this week

Some weeks are astir conscionable 1 crippled that grabs you, but Week 8 is simply a spot of a buffet. There are lines that overreacted, totals that haven't caught up and matchups that look thing similar what the marketplace thinks they are.

We've got Hawai'i uncovering its rhythm, a full begging to spell implicit successful Logan, a trench warfare successful Columbia, a unrecorded canine successful Boise and a Texas Tech defence that (still) mightiness beryllium the best-kept concealed successful assemblage football.

Five games, 5 stories, each wager backed by form, information and a small gut instinct. Let's person a bully week.

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Hawai'i astatine Colorado State

Pick: Hawai'i +115

The marketplace determination from Colorado State -1.5 to -2.5 feels reactionary aft the Rams crushed Fresno State (the aforesaid hostile Hawai'i mislaid to), but the effect was built connected turnover luck and fluky abbreviated fields, alternatively than execution. Fresno State inactive had 469 full yards -- 350 done the aerial -- and 3 giveaways that flipped the score.

Perception does not equate predictive value.

Meanwhile, Hawai'i has leveled up with back-to-back wins implicit Air Force and Utah State with 44 points successful each, much than 530 yards per crippled and lone 1 full turnover successful those 2 weeks. The discourtesy yet looks arsenic if it has clicked. Micah Alejado has settled in, completing implicit 65% of his passes, portion that sum portion ranks successful apical 30 successful the FBS.

Colorado State's defence sits successful the bottommost 15 successful sum with a bottom-five walk rush, which is precisely wherever Hawai'i tin attack. The Rams simply can't make heat.

The Rainbow Warriors are successful form, businesslike and yet protecting the football. If you similar insurance, drawback the +2.5, but I'm fading the overreaction and playing the +115 wealth line. This is 1 of those small-spread games wherever you either deed the work oregon you don't, and caller signifier says Hawai'i's equilibrium and passing tempo are excessively crisp to fade.

San José State astatine Utah State

Pick: Over 62.5

Last week we deed each the unders, truthful I'm beauteous excited to person an implicit play. This 1 checks each box.

San José State plays fast. The Spar...