
Pamela MaldonadoSep 26, 2025, 07:11 AM ET
- Pamela Maldonado is simply a sports betting expert for ESPN.
When 2 teams conscionable with styles this different, you cognize thing has to give. One broadside thrives successful chaos, turning Saturdays into way meets. The different prefers the dilatory burn, stacking tiny wins until they adhd up to thing bigger.
That opposition is what makes this Week 5 matchup a tug-of-war implicit tempo, execution and which squad tin enforce its volition first.
This crippled comes down to individuality and which squad holds steadfast erstwhile unit hits.
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No. 4 LSU Tigers astatine No. 13 Ole Miss Rebels
Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC
Line: Ole Miss -1.5
Money line: Ole Miss (-120), LSU (Even)
Over/Under: 55.5 (O - Even, U -120)
Betting trends
Courtesy of ESPN Research
The location squad has covered successful 7 consecutive meetings successful this series.
Brian Kelly is 45-27-2 ATS successful his vocation arsenic an underdog (33-41 outright). He is 6-5 outright and ATS arsenic an underdog astatine LSU.
LSU is 1 of 2 Power 5 teams with a winning grounds arsenic an underdog since 2022 (when Brian Kelly became caput coach) on with Louisville (minimum 10 games).
Ole Miss is 9-16-1 ATS successful league play since 2022, worst successful the SEC.
Ole Miss is 17-25-1 ATS successful league play since Lane Kiffin became caput manager successful 2020, worst successful the SEC (minimum 10 games).
LSU is disciplined, opportunistic and built to triumph with defence and clip of possession
LSU enters this matchup looking similar a squad that wins the small battles that adhd up to large results.
The oculus trial says the Tigers are not flashy, which means you won't spot 60-yard bombs oregon a crushed crippled ripping disconnected adjacent 8 yards a clip. What you bash spot is discipline: a backmost successful Garrett Nussmeier who takes what's given, spreads the shot astir and limits mistakes. You spot a defence that swarms successful the reddish zone, bends betwixt the 20s, but refuses to interruption erstwhile it matters most.
The numbers backmost it up. Opponents person managed lone 5 reddish portion trips, with lone 3 touchdowns, 1 of the champion halt rates successful the country. LSU's walk unreserved isn't elite by volume, but it's efficient. 78 pressures and 10 sacks, paired with a top-15 sum people to make a defence that forces quarterbacks into atrocious decisions.
That's however the Tigers person already generated 8 takeaways, including 5 interceptions against Florida.
On offense, Nussmeier is completing astir 69% of his throws, and portion not ascendant connected the crushed (just 3.7 yards per carry), against an Ole Miss defence 120th successful unreserved occurrence complaint allowed, adjacent this humble rushing onslaught has the accidental to determination the chains.
LSU's look is clear: play clean, triumph clip of possession, decorativeness drives and number connected the defence to make game-changing stops. It's not glamorous, but it's winning shot heading into Oxford.
The information astir Ole Miss: an explosive, high-risk discourtesy masking a defence that bends excessively often
Ole Miss is 1 of the astir electrical teams successful the SEC, and the oculus trial makes that wide from the archetypal snap. The Rebels play fast, agelong the tract vertically, and deed explosive plays astatine a complaint fewer teams tin match.
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