College football betting: Buckeyes, Ducks the favorites for national title, Heisman

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  • Pamela MaldonadoSep 30, 2025, 06:50 AM ET

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      Pamela Maldonado is simply a sports betting expert for ESPN.

The archetypal 5 weeks of the assemblage shot play shook the betting board. National rubric likelihood are starting to uncover who's built for a post-season tally and who's inactive a measurement behind, portion the Heisman contention has turned into a play banal marketplace wherever 1 show tin nonstop a subordinate soaring oregon sinking overnight.

Alabama is abruptly backmost successful the playoff conversation, Ole Miss is flirting with darkhorse presumption and the Heisman representation looks thing similar it did successful August.

Before you marque your adjacent futures wager, here's however the biggest enactment moves of Week 6 are shaping the scenery and what's really worthy buying into.

Biggest moves and notable lines for the nationalist title winner

Ohio State (+500) and Oregon (+600) are archetypal and 2nd successful the nationalist rubric likelihood and I agree. The Buckeyes are not the flashiest squad successful presumption of explosive plays, but they are ruthlessly efficient; No. 1 successful passing occurrence rate, paired with a defence that ranks apical 10 successful EPA. This makes them matchup-proof, not needing shootouts to win. Ohio State tin power games with consistency connected some discourtesy and defense, which is precisely the illustration that translates successful a playoff setting.

Oregon is exceeding expectations for me. I thought this would beryllium a rebuild twelvemonth but instead, it's a coming retired party. Their ceiling is arsenic precocious arsenic anyone's, apical 5 successful EPA/play and EPA per drive, and erstwhile they're rolling they're astir intolerable to stop. The contented is volatility. That tally defence is shaky, and they tin springiness up sustained drives but erstwhile it comes to rubric odds, a squad with Oregon's violative ceiling, equilibrium and explosive imaginable belongs successful that apical tier.

Basically, Ohio State is the astir implicit team, portion Oregon has the astir unsafe ceiling, and unneurotic they merit to beryllium the favorites.

Alabama +800 Last week +1400

The enactment determination is justified, but not due to the fact that Alabama abruptly fixed the issues that existed successful August. It's much astir marketplace dynamics and playoff positioning than it is astir on-field dominance.

Back successful the preseason, my work was that this roster had a defined ceiling due to the fact that the discourtesy should popular but the defence wasn't built similar vintage Alabama units and was susceptible against the run. That weakness inactive exists. Georgia ran for 227 yards and astir 7 yards per carry, which lone reinforces that interest aft getting bum-rushed by Florida State for 230 yards successful Week 1.

What changed is the path. Beating Georgia removes their perceived toughest regular-season obstacle and gives Alabama afloat power of its playoff destiny. They besides showed they tin compensate for flaws with execution. Ty Simpson threw for 280 yards and 2 touchdowns, converted 13 of 19 thir...

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