College football best bets for Week 5: Why UK matches up well with South Carolina

Last week, everything clicked. The reads were sharp, the picks landed and it each came together. Which is precisely wherefore this week, I'm preparing for the plaything back. That's the world of betting: You bask the wins, but you ne'er settee into them.

Week 5 brings 4 matchups connected my card: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors astatine Air Force Falcons, Tulsa Golden Hurricane astatine location against the Tulane Green Wave, Jacksonville State Gamecocks astatine Southern Miss Golden Eagles, and Kentucky Wildcats astatine South Carolina Gamecocks.

Each has its ain story, its ain wrinkle and yes, you mightiness announcement something. In 3 games I've listed the wealth enactment arsenic an option, and successful one, I haven't. That's intentional, truthful support an oculus connected each my written content.

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Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors astatine Air Force Falcons

Pick: Hawai'i +6.5

This opened astatine +4 and was pushed to astir a touchdown. This benignant of enactment determination creates opportunity.

The marketplace is reacting to Air Force's explosive tally crippled against Hawai'i's anemic front, and it is existent that the Falcons are 1 of the astir businesslike rushing teams successful the country. They tin enactment up yards successful a hurry, and they people successful bunches. Hawai'i's defence is brushed against the run, but it has 1 of the champion secondaries successful the Mountain West. The Rainbow Warriors tin support the pass, unit opponents into tract goals successful the reddish portion and marque teams play agelong drives. That matters against an Air Force squad that has been much explosive done the aerial than usual.

Hawai'i's discourtesy matches up straight with Air Force's weakness. The Falcons are dormant past successful sum and bash not make takeaways. That makes Hawai'i's turnover issues look worse connected insubstantial than successful reality. Five of their giveaways came successful 1 crippled against Arizona, and 24 of Arizona's 40 points came straight disconnected those turnovers. That crippled was the outlier, not the norm.

Which is wherefore with this inflated spread, Hawai'i positive the points is simply a existent land of value.

Tulane Gree...