Bills' big comeback: Long live-betting odds and shift in MVP, Super Bowl futures

1 month ago 50
  • Doug GreenbergSep 8, 2025, 03:36 PM ET

As the archetypal Week 1 matchup betwixt Super Bowl co-favorites successful astatine slightest 45 years, Sunday Night Football's showdown betwixt the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills was ever expected to beryllium exciting. Few astir apt could person predicted an ending arsenic chaotic arsenic the 1 that happened, though, and the betting markets that moved each implicit the spot arsenic a result.

Baltimore came into Buffalo arsenic a 1.5-point favorite, snapping a 34-game regular-season home-favorite streak for the Bills, the longest progressive streak successful the league earlier it ended, per ESPN Research.

With 4:48 remaining successful the 4th quarter, the Ravens were up 40-25 and had a 99.1% accidental of winning the game, according to ESPN Analytics.

Around that time, ESPN BET listed the Bills arsenic +2000 underdogs to win, with the sportsbook reporting it took respective unrecorded bets connected them up to that longest constituent and that 74.3% of unrecorded moneyline wagers successful wide were connected the Bills. DraftKings says it took a $1,000 wager connected them astatine +4000 heavy into the 4th quarter.

With an assistance from a uncommon Derrick Henry fumble and a questionable fourth-down determination from John Harbaugh, Josh Allen and institution ripped disconnected 16 points successful the last minutes to pb Buffalo to a monolithic Week 1 triumph that had contiguous ramifications connected the futures markets.

The Ravens and Bills came into the contention arsenic +650 co-favorites, marking the 4th clip successful astatine slightest 45 seasons that the apical 2 favorites for the Super Bowl played each different successful Week 1, and the archetypal clip for 2 co-favorites implicit that span. Before the comeback successful the 4th quarter, Baltimore shortened to +500 and Buffalo lengthened to +750.

Immediately aft the game, the Ravens concisely maintained that outright pb astatine +600, with the Bills returning to +650, but wrong fractional an hour, Buffalo had pushed past Baltimore and is the Super Bowl favourite astatine +550 arsenic of Monday afternoon. The Ravens are inactive 2nd astatine +650, with the Philadelphia Eagles (+700), Green Bay Packers (+800) and Kansas City Chiefs (+1000) rounding retired the apical five.

Sunday night's showdown was besides notable for matching up 2024's apical 2 MVP vote-getters and imaginable candidates for 2025.

Lamar Jackson entered the time arsenic the +450 favourite to triumph his 3rd MVP grant this play and accrued his pb to +325 by the 4th fourth of SNF. Allen entered the time tied for 2nd connected the likelihood board with Cincinnati Bengals QB (and nationalist darling) Joe Burrow astatine +600.

After his heroics connected Sunday, though, Allen vaulted to the apical of the committee astatine +375, with Jackson sliding backmost to +500 and Burrow maintaining +600. ESPN BET has received a starring 24.4% of grip backing Allen for the grant since Sunday.

Ravens-Bills, which had the highest full of the week astatine 50.5, was 1 of lone 2 games to deed its implicit connected Sunday; the different was Pittsburgh Steelers astatine New York Jets, which was the lowest full of the week astatine 38.5. Pittsburgh was +3000 to beryllium Sunday's highest scoring squad earlier Buffalo (+1300) passed them astatine the past moment.

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