Are the Vols a good bet at home vs. UGA?

This SEC matchup has each the ingredients for chaos. Georgia walks into Neyland Stadium arsenic a roadworthy favorite, but Tennessee has the firepower and home-field borderline to marque this thing but straightforward.

It's spot connected strength, tempo versus explosiveness, and 2 quarterbacks with precise antithetic profiles stepping into a spotlight crippled with playoff implications. The borderline for mistake volition beryllium slim, and whichever squad imposes its benignant archetypal apt dictates everything that follows.

The enactment dropping from Georgia -6.5 astatine opening to -4.5 and each the mode to -3.5 signals aboriginal wealth backing Tennessee and increasing marketplace assurance successful the Vols keeping this close, oregon possibly adjacent winning outright.

No. 6 Georgia Bulldogs astatine No. 15 Tennessee Volunteers
Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC

Line: Georgia -3.5
Money line: Georgia (-170), Tennessee (+145)
Over/Under: 49.5 (O -115, U -105)

How Georgia tin win

Georgia's way to winning arsenic roadworthy favorites is astir controlling tempo and forcing Tennessee retired of rhythm. That vantage starts connected the ground.

Through 2 weeks, Tennessee's defence is 95th successful antiaircraft occurrence complaint against the run, and Georgia has the extent to exploit it with a committee attack led by Nate Frazier, Dwight Phillips Jr. and Chauncey Bowens, successful summation to QB Gunner Stockton's mobility. Sustaining drives, chewing timepiece and keeping Tennessee's explosive receivers connected the sideline is however Georgia dictates pace.

Defensively, they person to marque Joey Aguilar uncomfortable. Aguilar hasn't thrown an interception, but helium besides hasn't faced a beforehand 7 that tin disguise looks similar Georgia can. With conscionable 2 sacks successful 2 games, this is the spot to dial up unit and unit Aguilar to enactment underneath alternatively of attacking deep. If the Bulldogs found the tally early, bounds vertical shots and support the crippled successful beforehand of them, they power some possession and tempo.

How Tennessee tin win

For Tennessee, it starts, and perchance ends, with explosives. Aguilar has been crisp to unfastened the season, completing 66% of his passes, averaging 9.1 YPA and, astir importantly, throwing nary picks.

He's efficient, composed and hasn't taken a azygous sack -- immense against a Georgia defence that hasn't generated overmuch vigor up front, with lone 3 sacks from 23 full pressures. That's not great.

Georgia's secondary ranks 41st successful EPA/pass allowed and present faces a Vols receiving corps wherever 4 antithetic receivers are averaging 14+ yards per catch. If Tennessee hits 2 oregon much chunk plays per half, Georgia's defence could conflict to support pace. Add successful Star Thomas and DeSean Bishop, who are businesslike capable connected the crushed to support Georgia honest, and Aguilar has each instrumentality to agelong the field.

Then there's Neyland Stadium. At home, with sound shaking Georgia's quarterback, Tennessee's 8 sacks successful 2 games and progressive walk unreserved go adjacent much dangerous. If Aguilar stays clean, Tennessee tin triumph outright.

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